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Updating

I have now updated the webpage for each constituency on my site - East Belfast, North Belfast, South Belfast, West Belfast, East Antrim, North Antrim, South Antrim, North Down, South Down, Fermanagh and South Tyrone, Foyle, Lagan Valley, East Londonderry, Mid Ulster, Newry and Armagh, Strangford, West Tyrone, and Upper Bann. And the sun has just come out.

Edited to add: I see that the SDLP are criticising Sinn Fein for - get this - daring to canvass and campaign efficiently. The nerve of them, seeking to maximise their vote in order to win more seats! It's pretty clear from the election results that the SDLP would never Stoop to such strategic activity!

Comments

( 5 comments — Leave a comment )
smhwpf
Mar. 18th, 2007 04:33 pm (UTC)
Thanks for posting this.

Interesting set of results... you generally pleased with the Alliance performance I guess? I was definitely pleased to see a Green getting in!

One thing that strikes me is how close STV comes to mimicking an exactly proportional system in terms of overall numbers of seats - I did a D'Honte on the vote totals, and the result was that the SDLP and SF would have got 2 more each, and the Greens 1, with the UUP, DUP, PUP, Alliance and the Independent getting one less each. Which makes the STV slightly pro-Unionist by comparison, but overall very close to proportionality for all parties- while maintaining the constituency link and the ability to vote for individuals, and giving independents and minor parties a look-in. Overall, although only one set of results, a good argument for SV.

(I'm guessing the SDLP's falling short comes from the very narrow miss in Strangford and the shockingly bad transfer management in West Tyrone - though given the consistent poor balancing by the UUP you comment on, I imagine there must have been a stronger Unionist weighting previously.)
nwhyte
Mar. 18th, 2007 04:44 pm (UTC)
Yes, of course I'm delighted with the Alliance performance! Now they'll have to look at potential 8th and 9th seats!

As for the differential performance of the parties, there's a turnout effect here too - the average turnout in constituencies where SF got no seats is 55%, in constituencies where they won 3 or more it is 70% - so SF votes have to work harder to get the same result.

The SDLP had an unlucky break in West Tyrone, and the UUP a lucky one in Upper Bann where they got two seats to SF's one despite having fewer first preferences. That also helps account for the difference.
(Deleted comment)
nwhyte
Mar. 18th, 2007 04:40 pm (UTC)
By all means! Though not sure how quickly I'll be able to implement them. Best to send by email - my address is on my profile page.
(Deleted comment)
nwhyte
Mar. 18th, 2007 05:25 pm (UTC)
No, I think it's that we are not worthy of winning because we do it by sneakily engaging the voters, asking what they want, promising to do it for them and then getting elected on that basis. Only candidates who are guided by the pure light of Truth should be allowed to stand, never mind win.
matgb
Mar. 18th, 2007 06:31 pm (UTC)
I just read the Slugger article, and ye gods how awful. Some people were canvassed up to four times during the election campaign, especially if they were possible/likely converts.

Four times? Is that all? I can remember doing one street four times in one week during a crunch by-election in Exeter. And knocking up more than once if they hadn't been recorded as voting? How terrible, how fundamentally undemocratic to try and persuade people to actually go and vote.

I despair at some parties; oh noes, our opponents are winning by using completely honest, open and obvious campaign techniques! That's eeevil, ban it! Admittedly, ten blokes looking intimidating outside polling stations can be a little off putting, but, y'know, secret ballot and all that.
( 5 comments — Leave a comment )

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