Nicholas (nwhyte) wrote,
Nicholas
nwhyte

300 days of plague: still here

300 days on; eleven into the new year, and I've started my second week back at work - I got straight back into it last Monday, as there is really not much else to do. I must say I'm finding the start of the year hard. This lockdown has gone on much longer than the first, and crucially the weather has been less good, because it's winter. The nights are now getting shorter again, but they are still pretty long.

I've already had one tweet that has gone viral:


The Belgian numbers were cheering me up when I wrote on 1 January. The infection rate has unfortunately been trending up again in the last few days, though there is some speculation that this represents people who skipped getting tested during the holidays (which means the apparent decrease over Christmas was more apparent than real). Hospitalisations, ICU beds, and deaths continue to decrease in general, which is something. But it's clear that we are a long way off getting back to the office. I note that on 16 May, two months into the first lockdown and just after our first tentative return to the office, I wrote that "Today's numbers are again encouraging - 1750 in hospital, 364 in intensive care, 57 new fatalities" - well, today's numbers are not that different, 1955 in hospital, 371 in ICU and a daily average fatality rate of 53.4 for 1-7 January, but not especially encouraging; back in May we were watching a steady decrease after two months, and now it seems much more wobbly after three. A sobering tweet from Peter Donaghy (who sometimes writes as "Salmon of Data") over the weekend:


I responded,

Our municipality is still one of those where the incidence is lowest, and Leuven is still the least affected big city. I had been thinking of going into Brussels this week to see a few people and run a few errands, but the rise in numbers in the capital has persuaded me to postpone that to the second half of the month.

Anyway, still here and still watching what is going on.
Tags: covid-19
Subscribe

  • December 2011 books and 2011 books roundup

    This is the latest post in a series I started in late 2019, anticipating the twentieth anniversary of my bookblogging which will fall in 2023. Every…

  • November 2011 books

    This is the latest post in a series I started in late 2019, anticipating the twentieth anniversary of my bookblogging which will fall in 2023. Every…

  • October 2011 books

    I note that we celebrated our 18th wedding anniversary in our nearest local restaurant at the start of the month. A couple of days later, I (or…

  • Post a new comment

    Error

    default userpic

    Your reply will be screened

    Your IP address will be recorded 

    When you submit the form an invisible reCAPTCHA check will be performed.
    You must follow the Privacy Policy and Google Terms of use.
  • 0 comments