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The BSFA Award final ballot is now out!

The 48 novels on the long-list have been winnowed down to four, two of which were in the top ten in the previous table and two of which were in the lower half. (To be precise, they ranked 3rd, 9th, 27th and 35th out of 48; last year’s shortlist similarly ranked 9th, 23rd, 26th, 28th and 29th out of 34.) Which maybe demonstrates the limited predictive value of this analysis... I have actually read one of them, Exit West.

Goodreads LibraryThing
owners av rating owners av rating
Mohsin Hamid – Exit West 134265 3.83 923 3.93
Ann Leckie – Provenance 20054 3.88 270 3.93
Nina Allan – The Rift 1615 3.36 31 3.25
Anne Charnock – Dreams Before the Start of Time 762 3.54 17 3.17


The top two on ownership are also notably ahead on ratings.

It may be even less meaningful to try the same for the short fiction, but just out of interest, here we go:

Goodreads LibraryThing
owners av rating owners av rating
Tade Thompson – The Murders of Molly Southbourne 3085 3.85 35 4.21
Anne Charnock – The Enclave 62 4.18 22 3.17
Greg Egan – Uncanny Valley 284 3.51 4 -
Geoff Nelder – “Angular Size” [stats for anthology SFerics 2017] 3 3.5 1 -
Elaine Cuyegkeng – “All These Constellations Will Be Yours” n/a n/a n/a n/a

The last of these is available for free online at the link. Interesting how Egan has scored so much better than Charnock on Goodreads, though her readers seem to be more appreciative.

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