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My Hugo predictions

I really loved the style adopted by Kyra when making her predictions this time last year. Based on a little more than gut instinct (ie reading every public blog post that I could find by anyone which mentioned the Hugo in the last couple of months), I am copying her example and making my predictions for this year's Hugos, in the order that the results will be declared on Saturday night (early Sunday morning this side of the Atlantic).

The John W. Campbell Award for Best New Writer
Who I think will win it: Andy Weir, slate's top pick this year but also supported by fans who felt he was deprived by slate last year
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Alyssa Wong, youngest Nebula winner in decades
Who I think will win if if I am very wrong: I do not think that I will be very wrong

Best Fan Artist
Who I think will win it: Steve Stiles, only non-slate nominee, frequently passed over in previous years
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Christian Quinot, slate's top pick
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: No Award

Best Fan Writer
Who I think will win it: Mike Glyer, only non-slate nominee, had a very good year until recent illness
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Jeffro Johnson, slate's top pick
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: No Award

Best Fancast
Who I think will win it: No Award, all others are slate nominees
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Tales to Terrify, the only one with significant non-slate following
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: The Rageaholic, slate's top pick

Best Fanzine
Who I think will win it: File 770, supported by slate and non-slate fans alike
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: I do not think I will be wrong
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: I do not think I will be very wrong

Best Semiprozine
Who I think will win it: Uncanny Magazine
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Strange Horizons
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: Beneath Ceaseless Skies
[slate's top pick in this category is No Award]

Best Professional Artist
Who I think will win it: No Award, all finalists are slate candidates
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Larry Elmore, slate's top pick
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: I do not think I will be very wrong

Best Editor, Long Form
Who I think will win it: Sheila Gilbert
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Toni Weisskopf
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: Vox Day, slate's top pick

Best Editor, Short Form
Who I think will win it: Sheila Williams
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Ellen Datlow
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: Jerry Pournelle, slate's top pick

Best Dramatic Presentation, Short Form
Who I think will win it: Doctor Who, “Heaven Sent”
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Jessica Jones, “AKA Smile”
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: My Little Pony: Friendship Is Magic: “The Cutie Map” Parts 1 and 2, the slate's top pick

Best Dramatic Presentation, Long Form
Who I think will win it: The Martian, slate's top pick but with much wider support
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: Mad Max: Fury Road

Best Graphic Story
Who I think will win it: The Sandman: Overture, slate's top pick but also the only good nominee
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: I do not think I will be wrong
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: No Award

Best Related Work
Who I think will win it: No Award
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: I do not think I will be wrong
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: Between Light and Shadow by Marc Aramini, slate's top pick

Best Short Story
Who I think will win it: “Cat Pictures Please” by Naomi Kritzer
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: I do not think I will be wrong
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: Space Raptor Butt Invasion by Chuck Tingle, slate's top pick

Best Novelette
Who I think will win it: “Folding Beijing” by Hao Jingfang, trans. Ken Liu
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: “Obits” by Stephen King, slate's top pick but with wider support
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: “And You Shall Know Her by the Trail of Dead” by Brooke Bolander, only non-slate finalist

Best Novella
Who I think will win it: Binti by Nnedi Okorafor
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Penric’s Demon by Lois McMaster Bujold, slate's top pick but with wider support
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: I do not think I will be very wrong

Best Novel
Who I think will win it: The Fifth Season by N.K. Jemisin
Who I think will win it if I am wrong: Uprooted by Naomi Novik, slate's top pick but with wider support
Who I think will win it if I am very wrong: Ancillary Mercy by Ann Leckie

Let's see what happens...

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Comments

( 3 comments — Leave a comment )
angledge
Aug. 17th, 2016 03:50 am (UTC)

I hope you're very wrong on Best Novel then! I adored the Radch trilogy.

nwhyte
Aug. 17th, 2016 07:59 am (UTC)
Oh, me too, and I voted for it all three years. But Jemisin has a big lead among bloggers.
ravenskyewalker
Aug. 21st, 2016 03:13 am (UTC)
*sigh* So, DW's "Heaven Sent" lost. I thought it was an excellent episode, my favorite of modern DW, so of course it lost. I don't even want to know which of the other two choices did win.
( 3 comments — Leave a comment )

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