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In 2015, 2014, 2013 and 2011 I carried out a survey of how bloggers were declaring their Hugo votes in the written fiction categories. This has got a bit more accurate over time - in 2011, I didn't spot any of the winners in advance; in 2013, I didn't find a single blogger voting for the Best Novel winner (Redshirts); in the last two years, I had the winner in first or second place in each of the four categories, though one of those second places was a long way behind.

This year, the leaders in the three short fiction categories all score more than 50% of my pool of reviewers, and the leader in Best Novel is also quite far in front. So I take this as a fairly strong set of indicators. On the other hand, it could be completely wrong. We'll find out in a month.

Best Short Story

This is the only category where I found anyone voting No Award (I am one of them).

“Cat Pictures Please” by Naomi Kritzer: 15½ Sue Burke, Didi Chanoch, Mark Ciocco, Jonathan Edelstein, Peter Enyeart, Camestros Felapton, Andrew Hickey, Rich Horton, JL Jamieson, Rachel Neumeier, ½Kate PaulkDoctor Science, Joe Sherry, John Snead, The Weasel King, Marco Zennaro
No Award: 4 Bonnie McDaniel, Timo Pietilä, Solitair, Nicholas Whyte
Space Raptor Butt Invasion by Chuck Tingle: 1 John C. Wright
“Asymmetrical Warfare” by S. R. Algernon: 1 Doris Sutherland
“Seven Kill Tiger” by Charles Shao: ½ Kate Paulk
“If You Were an Award, My Love” by Juan Tabo and S. Harris: 0

Best Novelette

“Folding Beijing” by Hao Jingfang, trans. Ken Liu: 10½ Liz Barr, ½Sue Burke, Jonathan Edelstein, Camestros Felapton, Rich Horton, Timo Pietilä, Doctor Science, John Snead, Solitair, Doris Sutherland, Nicholas Whyte
“And You Shall Know Her by the Trail of Dead” by Brooke Bolander: 4½ ½Sue Burke, Didi Chanoch, Peter Enyeart, Bonnie McDaniel, Rachel Neumeier
“Obits” by Stephen King: 4 Mark Ciocco, Kate Paulk, Joe Sherry, John C. Wright
“Flashpoint: Titan” by Cheah Kai Wai: 0
“What Price Humanity?” by David VanDyke: 0

Best Novella

Binti by Nnedi Okorafor: 10 Didi Chanoch, Camestros Felapton, Chris Gerrib, JL Jamieson, Bonnie McDaniel, Doctor Science, Joe Sherry, John Snead, Solitair, Marco Zennaro
Penric’s Demon by Lois McMaster Bujold: 5 Jonathan Edelstein, Rich Horton, Rachel Neumeier, Nicholas Whyte, John C. Wright
Perfect State by Brandon Sanderson: 3 Peter Enyeart, Timo Pietilä, David Steffen
Slow Bullets by Alastair Reynolds: 1 Sue Burke
The Builders by Daniel Polansky: 0

Best Novel

The Fifth Season by N.K. Jemisin: 6⅓ Didi Chanoch, Jonathan Edelstein, Camestros Felapton, Daniel Goldsmith, Bonnie McDaniel, Joe Sherry, Marco Zennaro
Uprooted by Naomi Novik: 3⅓ Didi Chanoch, Roger McCray, John Snead, John C. Wright
Ancillary Mercy by Ann Leckie: 2⅓ Didi Chanoch, The Weasel King, Nicholas Whyte
Seveneves by Neal Stephenson: 2 Chris Gerrib, Rachel Neumeier
The Cinder Spires: The Aeronaut’s Windlass by Jim Butcher: 0

As ever, please let me know if I have misrepresented your vote, or misused your preferred online handle, in the list above. I am sure that more ballots will be posted online in the remaining ten days before voting closes, but I am much less sure that I will be able to update this post.

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( 1 comment — Leave a comment )
bibliofile
Jul. 24th, 2016 07:05 am (UTC)
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For a second there, I thought that someone had resuscitated the Duck's Breath Mystery THeater Ask Dr. Science from last century. Which ran longer than I realized, but is still mostly defunct?

Ah, just narrowly escaping the having cake and eating it too? OR something.
( 1 comment — Leave a comment )

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