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The Voters of MidAmeriCon 2

Last year I posted an analysis of the Sasquan members who lived in the 50 US states, and found that by and large they are in states that vote more liberal than the US median. (I used this ranking from The Hill, which dates from October 2014 but is probably still more or less valid.)

I've repeated the exercise for MidAmeriCon 2, and not surprisingly - given that the local pool is Kansas and Missouri rather than Washington, Oregon and California, which are three of the four most liberal states - the numbers seem to lean a bit less to the left. Of Sasquan's members from the 50 states, more than half lived in the most liberal 7 of those states; for MAC II, the median member on the left-right spectrum lives in the 16th most liberal state (New Jersey) rather than the 7th (Massachusetts). For Loncon 3, it was the 12th most liberal state, Illinois.

That still means that MAC members are more likely to live in liberal states than the US population as a whole, if not as much so as Sasquan (or Loncon) members. The boost for Kansas (fourth most conservative) and Nebraska (sixth) is offset to an extent by a smaller boost for nearby Illinois, and losses from Idaho and Utah. 70.5% of Sasquan members (and 67.9% of Loncon 3 members) from the 50 states lived in places that were at least as liberal as the median state, Ohio. For MidAmeriCon that ficgure is 61.1%.

Of course, I have no information about whether MAC II members are in general more or less liberal or conservative than the rest of the people living in their states. But it is pretty clear that they are more likely to come from liberal states than from conservative ones, if less so than the two immediately preceding Worldcons.

State MidAmeriCon Sasquan Loncon Population %MAC %Sasquan %Loncon %USpop Hill ranking
Washington 194 1463 239 7,061,530 6.1% 19.9% 6.0% 2.2% 1
Minnesota 114 147 117 5,457,173 3.6% 2.0% 2.9% 1.7% 2
Oregon 51 347 73 3,970,239 1.6% 4.7% 1.8% 1.2% 3
California 465 1160 693 38,802,500 14.6% 15.8% 17.3% 12.2% 4
Rhode Island 6 13 9 1,055,173 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 5
New York 139 271 235 19,746,227 4.4% 3.7% 5.9% 6.2% 6
Massachusetts 139 330 282 6,745,408 4.4% 4.5% 7.0% 2.1% 7
Maryland 99 226 152 5,976,407 3.1% 3.1% 3.8% 1.9% 8
Michigan 58 129 78 9,909,877 1.8% 1.8% 1.9% 3.1% 9
Wisconsin 60 95 73 5,757,564 1.9% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 10
Maine 6 22 18 1,330,089 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 11
Illinois 215 260 246 12,880,580 6.7% 3.5% 6.1% 4.0% 12
Hawaii 5 13 10 1,419,561 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 13
Connecticut 19 55 37 3,596,677 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 14
Vermont 8 14 7 626,562 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15
New Jersey 58 108 92 8,938,175 1.8% 1.5% 2.3% 2.8% 16
Delaware 6 15 10 935,614 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 17
Iowa 85 95 47 3,107,126 2.7% 1.3% 1.2% 1.0% 18
Pennsylvania 72 156 108 12,787,209 2.3% 2.1% 2.7% 4.0% 19
New Mexico 37 44 33 2,085,572 1.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 20
New Hampshire 18 42 43 1,326,813 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 0.4% 21
Nevada 23 38 30 2,839,099 0.7% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 22
Ohio 71 131 102 11,594,163 2.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.6% 23
West Virginia 3 10 8 1,850,326 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 24
Colorado 92 171 105 5,355,866 2.9% 2.3% 2.6% 1.7% 25
Florida 75 154 107 19,893,297 2.4% 2.1% 2.7% 6.3% 26
Virginia 73 224 142 8,326,289 2.3% 3.1% 3.5% 2.6% 27
Missouri 204 92 51 6,063,589 6.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 28
Arkansas 18 22 20 2,966,369 0.6% 0.3% 0.5% 0.9% 29
Kentucky 28 38 24 4,413,457 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 1.4% 30
Louisiana 16 41 27 4,649,676 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 31
Tennessee 27 54 45 6,549,352 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 2.1% 32
Indiana 24 62 41 6,596,855 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 2.1% 33
Montana 8 38 4 1,023,579 0.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 34
North Carolina 47 122 69 9,943,964 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 3.1% 35
Georgia 29 91 58 10,097,343 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 3.2% 36
Arizona 43 136 65 6,731,484 1.3% 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 37
South Dakota 9 8 8 853,175 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 38
North Dakota 3 5 5 739,482 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 39
Texas 198 447 234 26,956,958 6.2% 6.1% 5.8% 8.5% 40
South Carolina 13 32 23 4,832,482 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.5% 41
Wyoming 2 11 1 584,153 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 42
Utah 19 106 67 2,942,902 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 0.9% 43
Oklahoma 33 42 23 3,878,051 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 44
Nebraska 56 26 24 1,881,503 1.8% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 45
Mississippi 5 6 7 2,994,079 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.9% 46
Kansas 180 54 37 2,904,021 5.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 47
Idaho 10 101 11 1,634,464 0.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.5% 48
Alaska 8 23 12 736,732 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 49
Alabama 16 46 50 4,849,377 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 50


For obvious reasons, I'll let someone else do this calculation next year.

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Comments

( 1 comment — Leave a comment )
catsittingstill
May. 29th, 2016 01:15 pm (UTC)
Interesting. I didn't see this calculation last year.

I had the impression that reading was more of a liberal pastime than a conservative one, so I don't find it particularly surprising that reading SFF to the point of wanting to attend conventions might be more common in liberal states than conservative ones. But it is interesting to see the numbers.
( 1 comment — Leave a comment )

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