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Hugo nominations closed a little over 24 hours ago, and Mike Glyer invited readers of his File 770 blog to post their choices, if they felt so inclined. About twenty did so, and my summary of the aggregate preferences is as follows.

1941 Retro Hugos, including only categories where there was at least one entry with more than one nomination:

BEST FAN ARTIST
Hannes Bok (2)
4 others

BEST FANZINE
Futuria Fantasia (2)
Scienti-Snaps (2)
3 others

BEST PROFESSIONAL ARTIST
Margaret Brundage (2)
Virgil Finlay (2)
Hubert Rogers (2)
6 others

BEST EDITOR, SHORT FORM
Raymond A. Palmer (3)
Frederik Pohl (2)
F. Orlin Tremaine (2)
6 others

BEST DRAMATIC PRESENTATION, LONG FORM
Fantasia (4)
Dr. Cyclops (2)
Flash Gordon Conquers the Universe (2)
Pinocchio (2)
The Thief of Bagdad (2)
2 others

BEST SHORT STORY
"Tlön, Uqbar, Orbis Tertius", by Jorge Luis Borges (5)
"Song in a Minor Key", by C.L. Moore (2)
13 others

BEST NOVELLETTE
"Farewell to the Master", by Harry Bates (2)
"It", by Theodore Sturgeon (2)
11 others, inc. "The Mound", by H.P. Lovecraft and Zealia Bishop

BEST NOVELLA
"If This Goes On—", by Robert Heinlein (4)
Fattypuffs and Thinifers, by André Maurois (3)
"But Without Horns", by Norvell Page (2)
10 others, inc. "The Mound", by H.P. Lovecraft and Zealia Bishop

BEST NOVEL
Slan, by A.E. van Vogt (4)
Twice in Time, by Manly Wade Wellman (3)
The Ill-Made Knight, by T.H. White (3)
9 others

The most obvious leaders are Fantasia and "Tlön, Uqbar, Orbis Tertius". Given the small numbers, I think it’s a fair bet that almost all of the above will actually be on the final ballot, with perhaps a slight caveat for Best Dramatic Presentation (Long Form).

2016 Hugos - to make this a bit easier to follow, I'm bolding the top five (or fewer, if there is a tie for fifth place) and also separating off those with only two nominations with an underline.

JOHN W. CAMPBELL AWARD FOR BEST NEW WRITER
Andy Weir (14)
Becky Chambers (13)
Natasha Pulley (11)
Alyssa Wong (9)
Scott Hawkins (8)
Kelly Robson (5)
Graydon Saunders (4)
Iona Sharma (4)
JY Yang (2)
26 others

BEST FAN ARTIST
Iguanamouth / Lauren Dawson (3)
Lauren Cannnon (2)
Galen Dara (2)
Lynne Taylor Fahnestalk (2)
Martin Hanford (2)
Hannah Holloway (2)
Megan Lara (2)
Jason Porath (2)
Autun Purser (2)
41 others

BEST FAN WRITER
Alexandra Erin (15)
Mike Glyer (7)
James Nicoll (7)
Natalie Luhrs (5)
Foz Meadows (4)
Mark Oshiro (4)
George R.R. Martin (3)
Abigail Nussbaum (3)
Kyra (2)
23 others

BEST FANCAST
Tea and Jeopardy (8)
Galactic Suburbia (5)
Ditch Diggers (3)
Fangirl Happy Hour (3)
The Skiffy and Fanty Show (3)
Verity! (3)
The Coode Street Podcast (2)
The Cornell Collective (2)
The Hidden Almanac (2)
Imaginary Worlds (2)
StarShipSofa (2)
Sword & Laser (2)
The X-Files Files (2)
15 others

BEST FANZINE
File 770 (26)
Black Gate (6)
Lady Business (5)
Rocket Stack Rank (5)
James Davis Nicoll Reviews (4)

Ansible (2)
A Dribble of Ink (2)
Fantasy Faction (2)
Making Light (2)
14 others

BEST SEMIPROZINE
Uncanny Magazine (13)
Beneath Ceaseless Skies (7)
Strange Horizons (7)
The Book Smugglers (5)
Interzone (5)

GigaNotoSaurus (4)
The New York Review of Science Fiction (3)
Black Gate (2)
Escape Pod (2)
17 others

BEST PROFESSIONAL ARTIST
Julie Dillon (7)
Forest Rogers (4)
Cynthia Sheppard (4)
Richard Anderson (3)
Kathleen Jennings (3)
Simon Stålenhag (3)
Stephanie Hans (2)
Stephan Martinière (2)
Victo Ngai (2)
Lauren Saint-Onge (2)
Morgana Wallace (2)
37 others

BEST EDITOR (LONG FORM)
Sheila Gilbert (12)
Devi Pillai (7)
Anne Lesley Groell (6)
Marco Palmieri (6)
Liz Gorinsky (4)
Jane Johnson (3)
David G. Hartwell (3)
Patrick Nielsen Hayden (3)
Miriam Weinberg (3)
Beth Meacham (2)
Anne Sowards (2)
12 others

BEST EDITOR (SHORT FORM)
Ellen Datlow (8)
Neil Clarke (6)
C.C. Finlay (6)
John Joseph Adams (5)
Sheila Williams (5)

Carl Engle-Laird (4)
Ann VanderMeer (4)
Gardner Dozois (3)
Jason Sizemore (3)
Lynne M Thomas and Michael Damien Thomas (3)
Patrick Nielsen Hayden (2)
Jonathan Strahan (2)
29 others

BEST DRAMATIC PRESENTATION (SHORT FORM)
Doctor Who: Heaven Sent (8)
Person of Interest: If-Then-Else (8)
The Expanse: CQB (6)
Jessica Jones: AKA Smile (6)

Kung Fury (4)
Uncanny Valley (4)
Welcome to Night Vale: Triptych (4)
Archer: Drastic Voyage parts 1 & 2 (3)
Daredevil: Cut Man (3)
Doctor Who: The Husbands of River Song (3)
Game of Thrones: Hardhome (3)
Marvel’s Agent Carter: Snafu (3)
Orphan Black: Certain Agony of the Battlefield (3)
Welcome to Night Vale: The Librarians (3)
Doctor Who: Heaven Sent / Hell Bent (2)
The Man in the High Castle: A Way Out (2)
Marvel’s Agent Carter: Now Is Not The End (2)
Orphan Black: Community of Dreadful Fear and Hate (2)
Sense8: What’s Going On (2)
Steven Universe, The Return/Jail Break/Full Disclosure (2)
The Venture Bros.: All This and Gargantua-2 (2)
49 others

BEST DRAMATIC PRESENTATION (LONG FORM)
Mad Max: Fury Road (20)
The Martian (17)
Jessica Jones, Season 1 (15)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens (15)
Inside Out (10)
Ex Machina (9)
Predestination (7)
Jonathan Strange & Mr. Norrell (5)
Jupiter Ascending (5)
Welcome to Night Vale (4)
Sense8, Season 1 (3)
Daredevil Season 1(2)
Limetown, Season 1 (2)
The Man In The High Castle (2)
Tomorrowland (2)
What We Do In The Shadows (2)
8 others

BEST GRAPHIC STORY
The Sculptor (12)
Stand Still, Stay Silent (9)
The Sandman: Overture (8)
The Autumnlands v1: Tooth and Claw (6)
The Thrilling Adventures of Lovelace and Babbage (6)
Nimona (5)
Saga v5 (5)
Bitch Planet v1 (4)
Ms. Marvel v2: Generation Why (4)
Lumberjanes v1: Beware the Kitten (3)
Oglaf (3)
Rat Queens v2: The Far Reaching Tentacles of N’rygoth (3)
The Groom (2)
Gunnerkrigg Court v5 (2)
Order of the Stick (2)
Trees (2)
Wilde Life (2)
29 others

BEST RELATED WORK
Letters to Tiptree (16)
John Scalzi Is Not A Very Popular Author And I Myself Am Quite Popular (8)
You’re Never Weird on the Internet (Almost) (8)
Invisible 2 (5)
A Detailed Explanation (4)
E Pluribus Hugo (3)
Empire of Imagination (3)
Geek Knits (3)
Guided by the Beauty of their Weapons (3)
A History of Epic Fantasy (3)
The Wheel of Time Companion (3)
Companion Piece (2)
The Compleat Discworld Atlas (2)
Lois McMaster Bujold (2)
A Response to Brad Torgersen (2)
Women of Wonder (2)
24 others

BEST SHORT STORY
Pocosin, by Ursula Vernon (14)
Wooden Feathers, by Ursula Vernon (12)
Cat Pictures Please, by Naomi Kritzer (11)
Damage, by David Levine (9)
Today I Am Paul, by Martin Shoemaker (6)
Monkey King, Faery Queen, by Zen Cho (5)
Hungry Daughters of Starving Mothers, by Alyssa Wong (5)
…And I Show You How Deep the Rabbit Hole Goes, by Scott Alexander (4)
The Game of Smash and Recovery, by Kelly Link (4)
Hello, Hello, by Seanan McGuire (4)
I Am Graalnak of the Vroon Empire, Destroyer of Galaxies, Supreme Overlord of the Planet Earth. Ask Me Anything, by Laura Pearlman (4)
A Murmuration, by Alastair Reynolds (4)
The Great Silence, by Ted Chiang (3)
Things You Can Buy For A Penny, by Will Kaufman (3)
Tomorrow When We See the Sun Rise, by A Merc Rustad (3)
Please Undo this Hurt, by Seth Dickinson (2)
Madeleine, by Amal El-Mohtar (2)
Time Bomb Time, by C.C. Finlay (2)
Elephants and Corpses, by Kameron Hurley (2)
It Brought Us All Together, by Marissa Lingen (2)
Eyes I Dare Not Meet in Dreams, by Sunny Moraine (2)
The Way Home, by Linda Nagata (2)
Dave the Mighty Steel-Thewed Avenger, by Laura Resnick (2)
Oral Argument, by Kim Stanley Robinson (2)
Broken-Winged Love, by Naru Dames Sundar (2)
Kaiju Maximus, by Kai Ashante Wilson (2)
Seven Wonders of a Once and Future World, by Caroline M. Yoachim (2)
51 others

BEST NOVELETTE
So Much Cooking, by Naomi Kritzer (11)
And You Shall Know Her By the Trail of Dead, by Brooke Bolander (9)
Botanica Veneris, by Ian McDonald (8)

Folding Beijing, by Hao Jingfang, translated by Ken Liu (6)
Another Word for World, by Ann Leckie (6)
Grandmother-nai-Leylit’s Cloth of Winds, by Rose Lemberg (6)
Our Lady of the Open Road, by Sarah Pinsker (6)
The Long Goodnight of Violet Wild, Catherynne Valente (5)
Entanglements, by David Gerrold (4)
Saltwater Railroad by Andrea Hairston (4)
Ambiguity Machines: An Examination, by Vandana Singh (4)
The Deepwater Bride, by Tamsyn Muir (3)
The End of the War by Django Wexler (3)
The Tumbledowns of Cleopatra Abyss, by David Brin (2)
The Servant, by Emily Devenport (2)
Sacred Cows: Death and Squalor on the Rio Grande, by A S Diev (2)
The Great Pan American Airship Mystery, or, Why I Murdered Robert Benchley, by David Gerrold (2)
The Body Pirate, by Van Aaron Hughes (2)
The Ladies’ Aquatic Gardening Society, by Henry Lien (2)
Drinking with the Elfin Knight, by Ginger Well (2)
38 others

BEST NOVELLA
Penric’s Demon, by Lois McMaster Bujold (20)
Witches of Lychford, by Paul Cornell (10)
The Pauper Prince and the Eucalyptus Jinn, by Usman Malik (10)
Binti, by Nnedi Okorafor (10)
The New Mother, by Eugene Fischer (8)

The Bone Swans of Amandale, by C.S.E. Cooney (7)
The Sorcerer of the Wildeeps, by Kai Ashante Wilson (7)
Waters of Versailles, by Kelly Robson (6)
Envy of Angels, by Matt Wallace (6)
Wylding Hall, Elizabeth Hand (5)
Sunset Mantle, by Alter Reiss (5)
Quarter Days, by Iona Sharma (5)
The Citadel of Weeping Pearls, by Aliette de Bodard (4)
The Four Thousand, the Eight Hundred, by Greg Egan (4)
Rolling in the Deep, by Mira Grant (4)
On the Night of the Robo-Bulls and Zombie Dancers, by Nick Wolven (3)
The Last Witness, by KJ Parker (2)
The Builders, by Daniel Polansky (2)
Johnny Rev, by Rachel Pollack (2)
Slow Bullets, by Alastair Reynolds (2)
Gypsy, by Carter Scholz (2)
Of Sorrow and Such, by Angela Slatter (2)
12 others

BEST NOVEL
Ancillary Mercy, by Ann Leckie (18)
The Fifth Season, by N K Jemisin (14)
Uprooted, by Naomi Novik (13)
Radiance, by Catherynne M. Valente (7)
Bryony And Roses, by T. Kingfisher (6)

Karen Memory, by Elizabeth Bear (5)
The Traitor Baru Cormorant, by Seth Dickinson (5)
The Library at Mount Char, by Scott Hawkins (5)
The Just City, by Jo Walton (5)
Gentleman Jole and the Red Queen, by Lois McMaster Bujold (4)
Sorcerer to the Crown by Zen Cho (4)
Planetfall, by Emma Newman (4)
Lagoon, Nnedi Okorafor (4)
Luna: New Moon, by Ian McDonald (3)
Barsk, by Lawrence M. Schoen (3)
A Darker Shade of Magic, by V.E. Schwab (3)
Seveneves, by Neal Stephenson (3)
The Mechanical by Ian Tregillis (3)
Castle Hangnail, by Ursula Vernon (3)
The Water Knife, by Paolo Bacigalupi (2)
Mother of Eden, by Chris Beckett (2)
Cuckoo Song, by Frances Hardinge (2)
The Buried Giant, by Kazuo Ishiguro (2)
Archivist Wasp, by Nicole Kornher-Stace (2)
The Grace of Kings, by Ken Liu (2)
Apex, by Ramez Naam (2)
The Trials, by Linda Nagata (2)
The Watchmaker of Filigree Street, by Natasha Pulley (2)
Aurora, by Kim Stanley Robinson (2)
A Succession of Bad Days, by Graydon Saunders (2)
Flex, by Ferrett Steinmetz (2)
44 others

Of course, this represents nothing more than the views of (some) File 770 readers, which explains why File 770 itself scores so highly in the fanzine category. In particular, there is no input from the Puppy side of things, so depending on their relative level of participation, there could well be names on the final ballot that do not appear above.

But it already looks like a good year for Andy Weir and Becky Chambers (JWC Award), Alexandra Erin (Fan Writer), Tea and Jeopardy (Fancast), Uncanny Magazine (Semipro), Julie Dillon (Pro Artist), Sheila Gilbert (Editor Long Form), Ellen Datlow (Editor Short Form), Mad Max: Fury Road (BDP Long), Scott McCloud (Graphic), Alexandra Pierce and Alisa Krasnostein (Related), Ursula Vernon (Short Story, twice), Naomi Kritzer (Short Story and Novelette), Lois McMaster Bujold (Novella) and Ann Leckie (Novel).

The final ballot is to be announced on 26 April, incidentally my birthday.

Comments

( 5 comments — Leave a comment )
(Anonymous)
Apr. 2nd, 2016 02:26 pm (UTC)
Announcement monitoring...
as your birthday present, boss, shall I monitor the announcement for you so you can celebrate? :)
ceb
Apr. 2nd, 2016 04:24 pm (UTC)
Ursula Vernon (Short Story, twice)

T Kingfisher is also Ursula Vernon, so make that short story twice plus novel...
nwhyte
Apr. 2nd, 2016 04:52 pm (UTC)
Yes, though not as convincingly in the lead as for short story. Of course, she's a regular at File 770, so the short story figures may not be representative.
ceb
Apr. 2nd, 2016 05:48 pm (UTC)
Sorry, I think I was reading too fast and missing your point!

I will be delighted if UV gets on the ballot, I have my fingers crossed that File770 is representative of the electorate as a whole in this case.
ravenskyewalker
Apr. 3rd, 2016 12:08 am (UTC)
I'd be very happy if Doctor Who's "Heaven Sent" were to win a Hugo, since it was very good indeed and has been ignored by other awards (but if it had been Tennant, damn sure it would win something no problem).

I've never been certain why Tea and Jeopardy seems to do better than Verity! as far as podcasts go, but it's probably because DW explored by female fans is probably a little too niche.

And I'd be very happy to see Ancillary Mercy win, too.
( 5 comments — Leave a comment )

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