But nwhyte, it's not like it's a close election where those 18 seats might make a difference. And it's obviously not that a lot of modellers are welded to their 3 party system, because it's less work for them at all. /sarcasm.

So if we take all the links together and fold them in carefully, do we get a Schadenfreude Pie of bitter, bitter failure?

Tune in for the NI battle, to see which combination of "others" and abstentionists will get in! Or respectively, not!

Admittedly the "BluKip" scenario is looking like it'd be a lot heavier on DUP than on Farágists, in the hideous event it comes to pass...