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West Belfast By-Election

It may have escaped your notice (it almost escaped mine), but there is a by-election in West Belfast on Thursday, due to Gerry Adams having left to represent County Louth in the Dáil.

The last time Sinn Féin got less than 50% of the vote here was in 1992, and the last time they got less than 60% of the vote here was in 1998. The result is therefore not in serious doubt. The candidates, and the votes each of their parties got in last month's Assembly election and last year's Westminster election, are as follows:

candidateMay 2011May 2010
Paul Maskey (SF)22,902 (66.1%)22,840 (71.1%)
Alex Attwood (SDLP)4,567 (13.2%)5,261 (16.4%)
Brian Kingston (DUP)2,587 (7.5%)2,436 (7.6%)
Gerry Carroll (People Before Profit)1,661 (4.8%)-
Bill Manwaring (UUP)1,471 (4.2%)1,000 (3.1%)
Aaron McIntyre (Alliance)365 (1.1%)596 (1.9%)


I am guessing that the votes will be counted during the day on Friday.

Comments

( 5 comments — Leave a comment )
alaninbelfast
Jun. 5th, 2011 06:35 pm (UTC)
They're counting from 10pm (when the poll close) on the Thursday night. While I'd heard that EONI was looking at venues in West Belfast (rather than using the Kings Hall), they haven't put the final result on their website. As an Electoral Observer planning to pop along, think it's time I asked!
alaninbelfast
Jun. 6th, 2011 08:31 am (UTC)
Confirmed as Kings Hall overnight count.
(Anonymous)
Jun. 7th, 2011 12:10 am (UTC)
Slight aside
Hi Nicholas,

Sorry I'm deviating a bit (mainly because west belfast is a bit of a bore)

And I'm sending you a link to some proposed new boundaries for northern ireland for your perusal. Makes for interesting analysis.

https://spreadsheets.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AonYZs4MzlZbdG84dXJXV0N5bURnZ1UwVjFJMEpkOFE&hl=en_US#gid=4

Just click on the NI tab at the bottom. i got it from the guardian.

Best wishes,

John in Derry
nwhyte
Jun. 7th, 2011 05:38 am (UTC)
Re: Slight aside
Hmmm, I see that my ancestral Loughbrickland is in two of the projected new constituencies simultaneously; and Lurgan is in with Lisburn, while Portadown goes in with Cookstown! I must say I think they are more likely to split North Antrim than the Craigavon district.
(Anonymous)
Jun. 7th, 2011 11:07 am (UTC)
Re: Slight aside
Yes its interesting.

I find the Belfast Lough straddling new seat will have caught a number of people by surprise.

I think the new "South Neagh" will be very close; a new FST if you will.

Personally, living 5 minute walk from the Foyle bridge and 10 minutes rom the new peace bridge I'm closer to the city center of Derry than most of the waterside and yet the curious drawing of the Enagh ward will put me into East londonderry and the boundary up to my house!

( 5 comments — Leave a comment )

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