Nicholas (nwhyte) wrote,
Nicholas
nwhyte

Irish General Election: My prediction #GE11

This is based on no more than casual scrutiny of the analysis on PoliticalReform.ie, Slugger O'Toole and my own gut instincts.

Fianna Fáil Fine Gael Labour Sinn Féin Green Others
Carlow-Kilkenny 1 3 1 - - -
Cavan-Monaghan 1 2 - 2 - -
Clare - 3 - - - 1
Cork East - 2 2 - - -
Cork North Central - 2 1 - - 1
Cork North West 1 2 - - - -
Cork South Central 1 3 1 - - -
Cork South West - 2 1 - - -
Donegal North East 1 1 - 1 - -
Donegal South West 1 1 - 1 - -
Dublin Central 1 - 1 1 - 1
Dublin Mid West - 2 1 1 - -
Dublin North 1 1 1 - - 1
Dublin North Central - 2 - - - 1
Dublin North East - 1 1 1 - -
Dublin North West 1 - 1 1 - -
Dublin South 1 3 1 - - -
Dublin South Central - 1 2 1 - 1
Dublin South East - 2 2 - - -
Dublin South West - 1 2 1 - -
Dublin West 1 1 1 - - 1
Dun Laoghaire - 2 1 - - 1
Galway East 1 3 - - - -
Galway West - 2 1 - - 2
Kerry North-West Limerick - 2 - 1 - -
Kerry South - 1 1 - - 1
Kildare North - 1 2 - - 1
Kildare South - 1 2 - - -
Laois-Offaly 2 3 - - - -
Limerick City 1 2 1 - - -
Limerick 1 2 - - - -
Longford-Westmeath - 2 2 - - -
Louth 1+CC 2 - 1 - -
Mayo - 4 1 - - -
Meath East 1 1 1 - - -
Meath West 1 2 - - -
Roscommon-South Leitrim - 2 1 - - -
Sligo-North Leitrim - 2 - 1 - -
Tipperary North - 1 1 - - 1
Tipperary South - 1 - - - 2
Waterford 1 2 1 - - -
Wexford 1 3 1 - - -
Wicklow - 2 1 - - 2
Total 21+CC 78 36 13 0 17


Basically I started with a specific set of estimated seat totals, and then worked back to fill the constituencies. This will mean that I am wildly out on the specifics but possibly a bit more accurate in general. By this time tomorrow we will start to have an idea of today's results.
Tags: world: ireland
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