I'm also a bit sceptical about Stratfor's speculations regarding the south of the country. Adjara is more firmly under Tbilisi's control than Stratfor seems to think. Samtskhe-Javakhetia will take its lead from Yerevan rather than Moscow (if anywhere), and Armenia does not want its only land route to the outside world blocked (yet again) by crisis in Georgia.
Still, I agree with Stratfor that this is one to watch.